aragon
0xa2cba213b15c6502af92bfe61ca7472e6ea4267f
- Realised P&L
- $482.20
- Volume
- $230.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,249
- Open portfolio
- $67.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,249
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.013Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$296.00at 0.013Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$244.97at 0.020Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$228.56at 0.560Clippers vs. Pacers
- +$191.90at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.8983033333 | $53.90 |
| 07-28 21:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.13 |
| 07-28 16:34 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 09:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.45 |
| 07-27 20:59 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 19:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-26 21:02 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 19:30 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 19:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.33 |
| 07-26 15:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BUY | 0.0098168182 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 14:24 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 14:19 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.35 |
| 07-24 14:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 14:14 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 14:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |