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Traders

aragon

0xa2cba213b15c6502af92bfe61ca7472e6ea4267f

Realised P&L
$482.20
Volume
$230.3k
Markets traded
1,249
Open portfolio
$67.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,249
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3000.310$31.00+$1.00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1900.160$16.88$3.12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.5900.660$16.78+$1.78
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.6700.215$3.21$6.79
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down0.0130.000$0.00$40.00
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Up0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - July 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:50Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.8983033333$53.90
07-28 21:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?SELL0.003$0.13
07-28 16:34Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.7099999503$3.00
07-28 09:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?BUY0.01$0.45
07-27 20:59Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
07-27 19:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.005$0.50
07-26 21:02Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?BUY0.99$2.00
07-26 19:30Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
07-26 19:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.003$0.33
07-26 15:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?BUY0.0098168182$1.00
07-24 14:24XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-24 14:19XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.01$0.35
07-24 14:19Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-24 14:14XRP Up or Down - July 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-24 14:14Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00