0xA259022B8710972244d8992b2c2483Ee04996597-1776857106537
0xa259022b8710972244d8992b2c2483ee04996597
- Realised P&L
- $803.96
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,661
- Open portfolio
- $424.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,661
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.24at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?
- +$27.43at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?
- +$27.07at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?
- +$24.57at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?
- +$22.28at 0.601Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.82 | $19.68 |
| 08-05 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.14 |
| 08-05 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $19.53 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.01 |
| 08-05 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.7381481481 | $19.93 |
| 08-05 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6982142857 | $19.55 |
| 08-05 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.88 |
| 08-05 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $19.50 |
| 08-05 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6465066667 | $19.40 |
| 08-05 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $19.52 |
| 08-05 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $15.84 |
| 08-05 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7277777778 | $19.65 |
| 08-04 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.60 |
| 08-04 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 08-04 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6754655172 | $19.59 |