0xa257b767fcb5d10a66a2c137acb3472daed59233
- Realised P&L
- $18.63
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $36.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 1.000 | $8.10 | +$5.35 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.545 | $6.27 | +$0.06 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.540 | 1.000 | $5.20 | +$2.39 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.570 | 1.000 | $5.09 | +$2.19 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Anyones Legend | 0.550 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? · Yes | 0.420 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.90 |
| Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.020 | $2.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.32 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.77 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.71 |
| Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.84 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.100UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
- +$87.16at 0.069Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$22.34at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$19.87at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$19.76at 0.460Wild vs. Stars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 09:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.90 |
| 07-15 07:09 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.398 | $2.71 |
| 07-12 17:04 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.77 |
| 07-12 13:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.56 | $2.97 |
| 07-12 06:32 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 06:01 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 05:02 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.79 |
| 07-09 22:07 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.395 | $2.77 |
| 07-08 13:16 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.78 |
| 07-07 23:02 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-04 17:36 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.81 |
| 07-01 13:09 | Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.695132 | $3.48 |
| 06-28 21:59 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.84 |
| 06-28 09:36 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.75 |
| 06-28 08:45 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.63 |