PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FancyBustling

0xa20541f819b2e21173f742a3dcf64b252becc6c6

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$101.8k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,0000.4640.470$1.7k+$23.38
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5530.830$1.2k+$386.12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2230.444$887.99+$442.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5490.575$441.95+$20.07
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.955$382.01+$182.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5580.775$227.76+$63.69
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? · No0.6280.845$152.51+$39.22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.915$91.50+$6.50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1090.025$18.75$63.25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3900.065$6.50$32.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6810.000$0.00$287.35
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$61.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$32.00
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4750.000$0.00$142.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$35.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 23:04Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSELL0.4175$20.88
07-06 22:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$29.62
07-06 22:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.56$78.40
07-06 22:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.55$55.00
07-02 08:26Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.027$54.00
06-29 18:29Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$124.83
06-04 22:25Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.986$295.80
05-19 22:14Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$8.00
05-19 22:13Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0965779207$28.22
05-14 18:26Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$1.20
05-14 18:26Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.122$2.44
05-14 18:25Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.124$25.72
05-14 18:25Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.125$3.13
05-14 18:25Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.126$1.15
05-09 13:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.99$8.3k
Trader FancyBustling · PolyBot