HeytalePazguato
0xa18bb22647dac1303321efb619dc879b264a4fc5
- Realised P&L
- $-229.20
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 751
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded751
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.65at 0.028Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on March 27?
- +$4.23at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?
- +$4.14at 0.818Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$2.83at 0.810Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$2.80at 0.874Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.17 |
| 05-10 10:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 05-10 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 11? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.18 |
| 05-10 05:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on May 12? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.08 |
| 05-10 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 11? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 05-10 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.22 |
| 05-09 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 11? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 05-09 14:06 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on May 11? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 05-08 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.0226501951 | $0.17 |
| 05-08 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 05-08 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.11 |
| 05-08 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.31 |
| 05-08 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.0894552529 | $0.46 |
| 05-08 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 05-08 05:09 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 10? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |