qianqw
0xa144fbb9c5ece7aacf69264d1df9bb1948315bd8
- Realised P&L
- $-19.10
- Volume
- $201.1k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $54.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $9.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 9? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $4.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 9? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 9? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $4.93 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85at 0.630Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?
- +$0.34at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?
- +$0.16at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?
- +$0.08at 0.992Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11?
- +$0.07at 0.990Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 22 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 04:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-06 04:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.12 |
| 08-06 04:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:37 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-06 04:37 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-06 04:36 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-06 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 02:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |