0xa12dd5135b9b7a01864eaff09f422d20dccb5a58
- Realised P&L
- $-399.14
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 616
- Open portfolio
- $68.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded616
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.20at 0.117Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?
- +$138.38at 0.611Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$48.24at 0.152Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
- +$47.80at 0.580Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?
- +$47.80at 0.580Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:00 | Will Henan FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $66.02 |
| 08-08 00:00 | Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.56 | $66.02 |
| 08-05 16:00 | Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.61 | $66.00 |
| 08-05 16:00 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.58 | $66.00 |
| 08-01 08:00 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.55 | $66.00 |
| 07-30 16:00 | Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.61 | $66.00 |
| 07-30 16:00 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.58 | $66.00 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $62.78 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.602 | $136.95 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $160.13 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 07-25 00:00 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27? | BUY | 0.58 | $66.00 |
| 07-25 00:00 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-26? | BUY | 0.56 | $66.02 |
| 07-17 08:00 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.57 | $29.98 |
| 07-17 00:00 | Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.62 | $30.01 |