winnerimpraying
0xa11c4af3b61327bd7afe30e7fc19b0fa140d5433
- Realised P&L
- $-4.93
- Volume
- $307.06
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.075 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9? · No | 0.046 | 0.005 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.68at 0.667Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.750Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$-0.95at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:49 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.0104590577 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $4.04 |
| 08-09 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 05:38 | Solana Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0522208356 | $1.92 |
| 08-09 05:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $1.04 |
| 08-09 05:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $6.67 |
| 08-09 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6666666667 | $5.00 |