mkdem
0xa110e16764a904a359a6cee52ebf15b1c62cdc18
- Realised P&L
- $-186.69
- Volume
- $84.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,009
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,009
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.18at 0.488XRP Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$99.50at 0.500Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 10?
- +$82.33at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$75.24at 0.463XRP Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$71.22at 0.509Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0090252708 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9027777753 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4126637358 | $4.50 |
| 08-09 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3723617566 | $3.90 |
| 08-09 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4499999665 | $4.70 |
| 08-08 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.87 |
| 08-08 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3099999436 | $3.30 |
| 08-08 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4399999656 | $4.60 |
| 08-08 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4899999934 | $5.20 |
| 08-08 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.3125 | $6.25 |
| 08-08 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0480742037 | $6.87 |
| 08-08 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |