PolyBot

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12ffffrr

0xa0f5cf097e65875015414f03dda205c9e3fd0456

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$45.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$680.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.3510.460$345.78+$81.79
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? · No0.7670.795$257.87+$8.97
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? · No0.9170.953$34.61+$1.29
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? · No0.0420.027$29.66$17.03
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes0.5020.459$9.40$0.89
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5200.545$2.73+$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 07:13Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.365$21.54
08-09 06:51Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?SELL0.019$1.52
08-09 06:51Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?SELL0.77$15.40
08-09 06:34Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.502$2.51
08-09 06:34Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1108504848$6.52
08-09 06:31Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.12$6.60
08-09 06:31Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.15$7.50
08-09 06:29Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.433$15.59
08-09 06:28Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.433$15.59
08-09 06:28Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.433$15.59
08-09 06:28Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.433$15.59
08-09 06:27Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.472$23.60
08-09 06:24Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.3443745285$280.30
08-09 04:10Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?SELL0.019$1.52
08-09 04:09Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$16.16