PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

clarel

0xa0e54ddba58077282e7be3142871ff51ee51e24d

Realised P&L
$253.89
Volume
$40.5k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$989.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9800.991$412.05+$4.37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9870.987$350.83$0.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · No0.9920.997$127.55+$0.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? · No0.9850.991$99.10+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.987$351.01
08-03 12:39Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9?BUY0.985$98.50
08-03 12:39Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9?BUY0.992$126.98
08-02 09:37Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.995672201$574.50
07-23 07:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$570.78
07-15 08:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.98$407.68
07-05 11:34Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.988$970.09
06-26 02:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.996$427.15
06-16 12:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$467.12
06-05 05:42Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9896428571$27.71
06-05 05:41Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.99$72.27
06-05 05:41Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.99$37.62
06-05 05:41Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.99$27.72
05-21 04:18Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?BUY0.985$658.57
05-18 14:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.996$657.36