0xa032972B1f36B0019a05b5CF83fB40c341AA52dd-1733340860834
0xa032972b1f36b0019a05b5cf83fb40c341aa52dd
- Realised P&L
- $52.01
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $20.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.999 | $20.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.11at 0.470Yoon arrested by January 31?
- +$0.56at 0.995Will "Wicked" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.47at 0.996Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$0.24at 0.998Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$0.22at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 02:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 08:14 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.00 |
| 07-28 12:26 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999717 | $30.70 |
| 07-28 01:30 | Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 07-24 22:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $30.70 |
| 07-23 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.00 |
| 07-21 01:03 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.30 |
| 07-20 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $26.00 |
| 07-15 11:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 07-13 11:32 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.00 |
| 07-13 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.40 |
| 07-12 06:26 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.70 |
| 07-11 09:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 07-10 06:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 11? | BUY | 0.9949999889 | $22.00 |
| 07-07 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.9979999948 | $15.45 |