0x9f93f3ea911d973e0409d3c871256aad663535af
- Realised P&L
- $58.52
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $30.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.98at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?
- +$21.81at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?
- +$17.87at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?
- +$16.53at 0.203Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$16.29at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.41 |
| 08-08 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.16 |
| 08-08 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1899998806 | $1.05 |
| 08-08 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.05 |
| 08-08 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.49 |
| 08-08 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.27 |
| 08-08 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 08-08 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.0196226415 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0719723183 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.94 |
| 08-08 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1099999112 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.04 |