johngmason
0x9f8e0ea45dbb357b5ab205dda975cd224dad2175
- Realised P&L
- $-290.57
- Volume
- $73.7k
- Markets traded
- 6,240
- Open portfolio
- $67.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,240
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.05at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$54.52at 0.476Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$49.38at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$32.00at 0.360Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 15+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$30.05at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4799999859 | $6.83 |
| 08-02 19:47 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999636 | $6.61 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 05:06 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999699 | $4.59 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-31 15:54 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 13:36 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 07-31 03:22 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-30 15:52 | Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.22 |
| 07-30 13:21 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.09 |
| 07-30 12:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 07-28 17:21 | Will Microsoft say "Fabric" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.94 | $29.14 |
| 07-24 09:56 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 07-24 09:56 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2655 | $5.31 |
| 07-24 09:56 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |