RTBnew
0x9f1a9b421e58a34435f4cb697fffe6c9ed487dd7
- Realised P&L
- $-22.68
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $947.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5? · No | 0.844 | 0.983 | $589.49 | +$83.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 5? · No | 0.975 | 0.996 | $248.88 | +$5.13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.780 | $117.00 | +$53.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.563 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.00at 0.485Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
- +$96.12at 0.697Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$95.44at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$80.73at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$78.88at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $14.52 |
| 08-05 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $10.56 |
| 08-05 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $317.65 |
| 08-05 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $21.44 |
| 08-05 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $16.33 |
| 08-05 07:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $26.73 |
| 08-05 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3076363636 | $16.92 |
| 08-05 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $22.00 |
| 08-05 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $10.12 |
| 08-05 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $17.05 |
| 08-05 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $17.00 |
| 08-04 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $21.78 |
| 08-04 23:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5124878788 | $16.91 |
| 08-04 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $22.00 |