jonathanfrake11
0x9e59c724e2ec081e1bcc0350c886eb9cd453a4ba
- Realised P&L
- $-43.62
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 612
- Open portfolio
- $537.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded612
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.71at 0.210Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
- +$16.36at 0.270Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$13.28at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
- +$10.66at 0.260US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$10.50at 0.160Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Greet Minnen
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 03:43 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.9549999983 | $5.68 |
| 08-03 02:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.21 |
| 08-03 02:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.63 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.975 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 01:33 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 00:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:53 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.57 |
| 08-03 00:13 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299999615 | $5.69 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999339 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.27 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.18 |
| 08-02 21:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.14 |