0x9dc24ec965a59a92684ff506c2b15dbcbb8505ce
- Realised P&L
- $-13.89
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 8? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $1.76 | −$8.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.33at 0.600Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
- +$1.01at 0.812Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 8? | BUY | 0.0028424337 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 21:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | SELL | 0.9768130081 | $6.01 |
| 07-28 19:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 19:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.8119999701 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.0327868852 | $5.00 |