0x9d88ee76bf0671b131caf49c8f3d8acd4b9049e0
- Realised P&L
- $10.68
- Volume
- $179.38
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $13.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.675 | $13.62 | −$4.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.31at 0.086Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-3.49at 0.200Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 23:21 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.879999996 | $17.76 |
| 07-15 22:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $23.01 |
| 06-09 17:51 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 05-28 21:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999845 | $4.70 |
| 05-28 21:42 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.99 |