0x9d70857edaf366c9a77a3106d099bcefc36daf49
- Realised P&L
- $-78.75
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $10.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.545 | $4.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $3.54 | −$1.46 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.081 | $3.26 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.78at 0.321Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
- +$43.17at 0.410Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.23at 0.459Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$30.41at 0.580Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$30.00at 0.400Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:55 | Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.5399999676 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 09:50 | Will Cambodia win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.0266009597 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:58 | Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Lee | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:58 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.52 |
| 07-22 10:44 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1039999792 | $4.19 |
| 07-22 10:44 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 10:44 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4059999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4074999771 | $8.37 |
| 07-19 19:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $8.89 |
| 07-18 22:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.032 | $3.73 |
| 07-18 22:22 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:20 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.82 | $19.06 |
| 07-18 21:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5299999907 | $8.00 |
| 07-18 16:30 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999995 | $54.00 |