lzfl
0x9d493c3a128c9e360a7b65a9479313790375b67e
- Realised P&L
- $31.00
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $122.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $87.30 | −$9.60 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.949 | 0.953 | $35.63 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.36at 0.964Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$4.82at 0.991Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$3.06at 0.996Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$1.93at 0.996Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$1.33at 0.990Will Solana dip to $65 on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:00 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.90 |
| 07-20 07:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.949 | $96.42 |
| 07-13 08:35 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.95 |
| 07-13 08:35 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 07-02 07:55 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 29 above $300? | BUY | 0.999 | $71.93 |
| 07-02 07:55 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 29 above $290? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 06-27 09:02 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $330 end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $130.74 |
| 06-27 09:00 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $961.07 |
| 06-21 08:15 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $959.15 |
| 06-10 00:47 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $26.23 |
| 06-10 00:46 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.982 | $954.49 |
| 05-29 08:04 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 05-29 08:04 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.86 |
| 05-14 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $136.59 |
| 04-05 01:15 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 6 above $160? | BUY | 0.997 | $113.66 |