Askrike
0x9d27b4f4895b2dee035b6af83594c3d57abb42d9
- Realised P&L
- $10.67
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $22.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.96at 0.252Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
- +$7.39at 0.171Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?
- +$5.80at 0.680Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
- +$5.43at 0.420Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.318999807 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 14:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0969999678 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 19:30 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 19:07 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 10:12 | Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:16 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 04-27 17:15 | Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 17:15 | Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.95 |
| 04-21 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.91 |
| 04-19 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $0.89 |
| 04-19 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $1.41 |
| 04-19 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.91 |