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0x9cb46385649493995fc1936a1ba464e4c6452914
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $139.3k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.036 | $1.08 | −$1.92 |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.64 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.460Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$628.45at 0.550Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
- +$324.17at 0.322Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$288.36at 0.190Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$247.72at 0.480United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 10:18 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.33 |
| 07-08 04:14 | LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.78 | $304.28 |
| 07-08 01:51 | LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $249.67 |
| 07-07 21:49 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.56 | $249.93 |
| 07-07 21:49 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.25 |
| 07-07 20:38 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $62.71 |
| 07-07 20:38 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.22 | $61.40 |
| 07-07 20:37 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 07-07 20:11 | Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2699999914 | $21.64 |
| 07-07 20:09 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 20:08 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 20:04 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.6 | $90.00 |
| 07-07 20:03 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 17:45 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $364.23 |
| 07-07 16:17 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.8822854873 | $321.68 |