strben
0x9cb2920d9cdf7a5b346632b229226ce3ce7bc803
- Realised P&L
- $432.01
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $70.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $26.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? · No | 0.993 | 0.998 | $22.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $20.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$403.86at 0.907Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$35.59at 0.900Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$1.27at 0.930Will Solana hit $190 in March?
- +$0.65at 0.969Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
- +$0.53at 0.985Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:24 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.00 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $22.00 |
| 08-03 02:24 | Will Solana reach $140 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.00 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.97 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $20.89 |
| 07-29 01:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999996 | $21.00 |
| 07-29 01:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 07-29 01:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999993 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 01:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.85 |
| 06-29 13:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.80 |
| 06-29 13:01 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9689999976 | $12.00 |
| 06-29 13:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.00 |
| 06-29 13:00 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.02 |
| 05-28 03:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 05-28 03:23 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |