diamondhead
0x9c95df82fe2f55f522cee739cefb08f528dded41
- Realised P&L
- $144.1k
- Volume
- $6.46M
- Markets traded
- 728
- Open portfolio
- $389.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded728
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima · Brandon Nakashima | 0.650 | 0.655 | $184.71 | +$1.41 |
| National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi · Nuno Borges | 0.620 | 0.615 | $150.06 | −$1.22 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.055 | $55.00 | −$145.00 |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$272.66 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.24 |
| Mariners vs. Phillies · Mariners | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$342.90 |
| Marlins vs. Nationals · Marlins | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.17 |
| UFC 318: Judice vs. Caliari · Caliari | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.06 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) · Astralis | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.56 |
| UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczuk · Meerschaert | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.08 |
| Blue Jays vs. Pirates · Pirates | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.79 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$409.99 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.9kat 0.260Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?
- +$19.3kat 0.230Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
- +$18.8kat 0.266Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$18.0kat 0.280Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?
- +$17.8kat 0.290Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 13:12 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.65 | $183.30 |
| 08-08 13:10 | National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.62 | $151.28 |
| 08-04 15:12 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.28 | $706.96 |
| 08-04 12:57 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.15 | $204.04 |
| 07-25 18:43 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:37 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 14:58 | UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.15 | $485.35 |
| 07-25 13:26 | UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 13:03 | UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.1699999955 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 12:52 | UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.82 | $1.3k |
| 07-21 09:59 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.09 |
| 07-21 00:12 | New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 23:34 | New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 23:33 | New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.67 | $13.4k |
| 07-19 18:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.74 | $518.00 |