0b1
0x9bb1bc70c9e098f2f297416d06a0aa3992534dbe
- Realised P&L
- $-41.2k
- Volume
- $4.02M
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima · Brandon Nakashima | 0.810 | 0.525 | $5.1k | −$2.8k |
| Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-09? · No | 0.860 | 0.865 | $1.4k | +$7.87 |
| National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.5k |
| National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca · Casper Ruud | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.4k |
| Argentina leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.9kat 0.752National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
- +$12.3kat 0.907Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$8.6kat 0.972Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.8kat 0.881National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx
- +$5.3kat 0.970Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 22:51 | Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.3k |
| 08-08 22:34 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.996 | $34.79 |
| 08-08 22:25 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.94 | $9.4k |
| 08-08 22:25 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.94 | $47.0k |
| 08-08 22:07 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SELL | 0.54 | $22.02 |
| 08-08 21:54 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.72 | $13.0k |
| 08-08 21:53 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.27 | $10.3k |
| 08-08 21:39 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.56 | $393.58 |
| 08-08 21:39 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5 | $9.0k |
| 08-08 20:29 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.9 | $90.0k |
| 08-08 20:27 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.85 | $14.2k |
| 08-08 18:59 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.2k |
| 08-08 18:57 | National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.89 | $9.8k |
| 08-08 18:11 | National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.83 | $3.2k |
| 08-08 18:01 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.3k |