jj8848
0x9ab2f56ef39eeb34d7587db371a5ec310a7416da
- Realised P&L
- $-132.26
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $67.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.965 | $67.96 | −$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4? · Yes | 0.863 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.99 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.84at 0.945Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?
- +$10.53at 0.950Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?
- +$9.43at 0.955Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?
- +$9.29at 0.956Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 28?
- +$6.38at 0.940Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.18 |
| 08-07 00:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $60.14 |
| 08-04 04:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $99.99 |
| 08-04 04:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.81 |
| 08-03 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $49.82 |
| 08-03 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 08:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 07-31 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 07-30 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $64.74 |
| 07-30 07:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 00:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 09:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $30.16 |