Tuk007
0x9a6e69c9b012030c668397d8346b4d55dd8335b4
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $11.43M
- Markets traded
- 6,233
- Open portfolio
- $23.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,233
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No | 0.850 | 0.985 | $19.70 | +$2.70 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.942 | $1.57 | +$0.40 |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No | 0.700 | 0.870 | $1.44 | +$0.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.053 | $1.06 | −$14.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.130Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
- +$4.2kat 0.083Wizards vs. Hornets
- +$3.8kat 0.190Kings vs. Lakers
- +$3.3kat 0.14076ers vs. Thunder
- +$2.8kat 0.210Suns vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 14:56 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 06-19 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.874 | $17.48 |
| 06-17 17:46 | Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? | SELL | 0.823 | $7.39 |
| 06-09 08:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 08:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9309999953 | $100.00 |
| 04-05 19:04 | Hurricanes vs. Senators | SELL | 0.45 | $36.16 |
| 04-05 18:51 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.73 |
| 04-05 16:21 | Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.67 | $20.39 |
| 04-05 15:05 | Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.7 | $139.99 |
| 04-05 15:05 | Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05? | SELL | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 04-05 14:05 | Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.7 | $30.20 |
| 04-05 11:50 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05? | SELL | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 04-05 11:50 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 04-05 03:24 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05? | BUY | 0.63 | $123.20 |
| 04-05 01:50 | Flames vs. Ducks | SELL | 0.43 | $59.99 |