0x98b49770E473c52cE1ABDdD4542aC6916f1B5d76-1723921353160
0x98b49770e473c52ce1abddd4542ac6916f1b5d76
- Realised P&L
- $303.35
- Volume
- $582.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,489
- Open portfolio
- $35.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,489
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$714.58at 0.281Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$620.00at 0.380Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$616.96at 0.637Lions vs. 49ers
- +$569.00at 0.430Raptors vs. Pelicans
- +$559.95at 0.440Lakers vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:45 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 08-05 19:43 | Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-05 19:42 | Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-08 03:55 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.789999997 | $38.88 |
| 07-08 03:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3279999979 | $75.00 |
| 07-07 17:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.9249999372 | $14.00 |
| 07-07 17:56 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.80 |
| 07-07 17:56 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 07-07 17:54 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 07-07 17:39 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 07-07 17:15 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 07-07 17:15 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 07-07 00:14 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 07-06 18:14 | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 07-06 18:10 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |