0x987347485d331899713e7b7045c6a10b5e2dc3a0
- Realised P&L
- $-466.00
- Volume
- $429.5k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $27.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.97at 0.744Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$9.07at 0.230US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$7.89at 0.150Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$7.12at 0.750Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$4.36at 0.760Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.74 |
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.85 |
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.95 |
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.87 |
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.51 |
| 04-11 14:54 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.94 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.05 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.102 | $7.48 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $6.94 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.49 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.70 |
| 04-11 14:47 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.35 |
| 03-31 14:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.54 |
| 03-30 01:48 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.69 |
| 03-30 01:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.75 |