cjj0427
0x9804a30e9642a31273d1c470626ee1338ad70d55
- Realised P&L
- $-13.70
- Volume
- $220.38
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7? · No | 0.460 | 0.445 | $1.68 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.550Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?
- +$-0.50at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?
- +$-1.42at 0.530Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6?
- +$-2.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3?
- +$-8.50at 0.370Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be exactly 0.1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:09 | Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be exactly 0.1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 08-05 10:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.48 | $13.58 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 08-04 03:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |