gasgon99
0x97d2e33ce432e2d88ae7a4ddd31afcfd8ad12c93
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $237.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $117.18 | +$0.62 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.955 | 0.968 | $50.55 | +$0.65 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.968 | 0.956 | $20.07 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?
- +$840.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 29?
- +$811.96at 0.470Cardinals vs. Pirates
- +$311.78at 0.660Capitals vs. Hurricanes
- +$272.16at 0.720Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 08:48 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.00 |
| 03-13 08:10 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.29 |
| 12-12 11:53 | Kraken vs. Utah | BUY | 0.62 | $35.34 |
| 08-19 12:59 | Solana Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $270.00 |
| 05-30 08:45 | Reds vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.61 | $624.64 |
| 05-10 05:51 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.66 | $605.22 |