0x9791c81769ded916c7568c4457a61c75ad8f520c
- Realised P&L
- $118.15
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,292
- Open portfolio
- $1.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,292
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.110 | $0.79 | −$0.50 |
| Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.135 | $0.68 | −$0.72 |
| Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.007 | $0.49 | −$5.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.79at 0.555Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$106.80at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$89.39at 0.095Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$88.54at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$75.16at 0.111Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:15 | Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.94 |
| 08-04 15:23 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 08-04 15:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.01 |
| 08-04 15:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.22 |
| 08-04 15:22 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 04:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799993541 | $1.09 |
| 08-04 04:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799993541 | $1.09 |
| 08-04 04:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799993541 | $1.09 |
| 08-04 01:40 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 07-30 15:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2299998727 | $1.03 |
| 07-30 13:45 | Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31? | SELL | 0.017248 | $0.09 |
| 07-30 13:45 | Will Shrek 5 be delayed? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-27 17:44 | Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.1099999149 | $1.06 |
| 07-27 02:52 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.242 | $0.48 |
| 07-27 02:48 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.36 |