PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x974420e2D49EF8964e2843CD3c15E5839FF51676-1771332354783

0x974420e2d49ef8964e2843cd3c15e5839ff51676

Realised P&L
$-43.59
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$8.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2250.195$3.90$0.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.425$2.13+$0.77
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75$0.25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.3100.110$0.71$1.29
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.048$0.47$1.02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.022$0.22$0.01
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.028$0.14$0.46
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 10? · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
XRP all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.80
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$0.40
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 3? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump attend UFC 326? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 21:03Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2624999813$10.00
07-10 21:02Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2349999723$5.00
07-10 21:01Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-10 21:00Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?BUY0.0270000008$1.00
03-15 17:20Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
03-10 02:19Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 10?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
03-10 02:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.3859998927$2.00
03-10 02:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
03-09 14:53Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?BUY0.994$4.97
03-09 14:52XRP all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0095223585$1.00
03-07 17:36Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 7?BUY0.001$5.00
03-07 17:33Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 7?BUY0.001$5.00
03-07 17:33Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 7?BUY0.001$5.00
03-07 17:29Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 7?BUY0.001$1.00
03-07 17:18Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 7?BUY0.001$1.00