TheBoyandTheHeron
0x972a2c35cb4b882e00d18f879fe7ee617f5daee7
- Realised P&L
- $-126.37
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 457
- Open portfolio
- $0.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded457
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.633 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$225.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 27? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18? · No | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.00at 0.120Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?
- +$84.39at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?
- +$73.08at 0.160Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
- +$53.00at 0.470Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?
- +$46.00at 0.040LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.66 |
| 08-08 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7124074074 | $38.47 |
| 08-08 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6288007268 | $51.91 |
| 08-08 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4395959596 | $43.52 |
| 08-08 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.2742179918 | $14.69 |
| 08-08 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.46 |
| 08-07 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.55 | $21.62 |
| 08-07 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.543880822 | $68.55 |
| 08-07 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.2618670113 | $18.23 |
| 08-07 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.7275401906 | $51.14 |
| 08-07 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.8422947394 | $68.53 |
| 08-07 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-07 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.8713186191 | $15.40 |
| 08-06 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.59 |
| 08-06 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.16 |