0x96e3a18560ee713c722fa3a5132560b04dab52b1
- Realised P&L
- $-32.97
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $16.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $14.27 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 8? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.028 | $1.91 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 2? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 2? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 1? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.33at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?
- +$0.08at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 1?
- +$-0.06at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3?
- +$-0.88at 0.017Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on July 31?
- +$-2.62at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.26 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.0258477614 | $2.36 |
| 08-07 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.83 |
| 08-06 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.50 |
| 08-05 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.982 | $7.99 |
| 08-05 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.992999999 | $6.27 |
| 08-05 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $7.99 |
| 08-05 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $7.99 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.982 | $7.92 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.99 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.0022986536 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.0112583893 | $0.27 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0018174387 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.2270955562 | $7.82 |