BelBado
0x9691ae33d67e535c262ffa62ffe80412b4143727
- Realised P&L
- $35.57
- Volume
- $64.1k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $23.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $14.21 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.961 | 0.947 | $5.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.920 | $3.79 | +$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.21at 0.503Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.18at 0.220Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$8.00at 0.200Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?
- +$1.78at 0.730Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
- +$1.58at 0.764Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 06-21 21:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.58 |
| 06-18 17:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.49 |
| 06-15 16:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $98.14 |
| 06-15 01:04 | Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $6.06 |
| 06-11 08:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.50 |
| 06-06 18:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $103.67 |
| 05-09 13:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | BUY | 0.9719999977 | $6.82 |
| 05-06 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.02 |
| 04-27 16:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.99 |
| 04-21 15:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $127.60 |
| 04-20 18:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | BUY | 0.977999999 | $4.05 |
| 04-19 10:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.49 |
| 04-15 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $128.13 |
| 04-12 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.84 |