0x96553010c9f18B56c4625b6A93aAca514c4331ce-1779449328613
0x96553010c9f18b56c4625b6a93aaca514c4331ce
- Realised P&L
- $-46.09
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,647
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,647
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.79at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 28?
- +$26.34at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?
- +$23.20at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?
- +$20.01at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?
- +$15.95at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 08-07 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.77 |
| 08-07 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.32 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0742573607 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.52 |