PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Zaratustr4

0x9630df5234bf9d9cdf60136645d97b9538394005

Realised P&L
$-395.54
Volume
$60.3k
Markets traded
1,205
Open portfolio
$84.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,205
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.5730.575$34.50+$0.10
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7270.833$16.65+$2.11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$11.50$3.50
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? · Yes0.3760.195$8.87$8.24
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · Yes0.3200.320$3.32$0.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.545$2.73$0.27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3230.747$2.31+$1.31
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.4400.450$2.25+$0.05
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.015$0.78+$0.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1750.055$0.56$1.24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.086$0.43+$0.30
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1100.033$0.16$0.39
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0030.002$0.15$0.15
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0020.002$0.07$0.03
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.006$0.06$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 08:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-27 08:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-26 12:56Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-26 12:56Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.7$1.00
07-25 13:07Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-25 11:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.99$100.00
07-25 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-25 11:56Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?SELL0.1$1.23
07-25 11:56Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?SELL0.3$12.00
07-24 21:05Will it rain during the Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.87$19.14
07-24 20:57Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?SELL0.59$11.80
07-24 20:55Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?SELL0.59$11.79
07-24 20:41Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?SELL0.41$8.61
07-24 20:18Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.35$28.00
07-24 16:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.51$5.10