arkadiu
0x957423f6047f017f6b9d370a91b5ef87a8e1a119
- Realised P&L
- $-137.81
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $386.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $59.49 | +$9.49 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.839 | 0.980 | $58.37 | +$8.38 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.817 | 0.880 | $53.46 | +$3.80 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $53.16 | +$3.16 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.992 | $52.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.809 | $48.15 | −$1.85 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.928 | 0.975 | $39.17 | +$1.85 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.520 | $22.37 | −$2.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.06at 0.680SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?
- +$41.64at 0.546Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$30.64at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$16.66at 0.750WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 4?
- +$15.00at 0.769WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 19:12 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9204805745 | $49.99 |
| 08-05 18:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.573 | $24.63 |
| 08-05 18:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.39 | $25.65 |
| 08-05 17:31 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $49.99 |
| 08-05 16:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 5? | BUY | 0.8855720864 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 14:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.434 | $26.72 |
| 08-05 14:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.808 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 12:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.812 | $49.99 |
| 08-05 12:37 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 12:37 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 06:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $26.78 |
| 08-05 06:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5456349195 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 03:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.817473251 | $49.66 |
| 08-05 02:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.712 | $38.69 |