TRMRHA
0x956d1b27053dd2ee78c3ee6f575456103638d9b4
- Realised P&L
- $-133.85
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $24.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.400 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.455 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.325 | $5.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $4.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · No | 0.200 | 0.135 | $3.38 | −$1.63 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · No | 0.210 | 0.190 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.00at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$34.78at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$33.51at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$29.37at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$23.04at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 10:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 09:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 09:06 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.07 |
| 08-05 06:02 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999631 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.43 |
| 08-04 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3843626119 | $3.00 |