Carverok
0x9518f01d1437bbb6eeffca9588fbc6f4df979e0c
- Realised P&L
- $-283.99
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 540
- Open portfolio
- $54.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded540
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.35at 0.220Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$24.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?
- +$16.40at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6?
- +$16.15at 0.190Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8?
- +$16.12at 0.594Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-08 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-08 05:26 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.95 |
| 08-08 05:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.96 |
| 08-08 04:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.47 |
| 08-07 22:38 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-07 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.53 |
| 08-07 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.54 |
| 08-07 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 08:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.38 |
| 08-07 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.67 |
| 08-07 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.899 | $17.98 |
| 08-07 07:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.70 |
| 08-06 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.9105 | $18.21 |