0x950626c3d8064f2a5770f09dc267d8c5a3f5c548
- Realised P&L
- $-704.14
- Volume
- $93.4k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $39.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.45at 0.589Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?
- +$25.96at 0.310Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$21.22at 0.477Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?
- +$15.97at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?
- +$12.35at 0.916Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.0299999756 | $1.18 |
| 07-11 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.0493891051 | $1.27 |
| 07-11 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11? | BUY | 0.0759999624 | $1.74 |
| 07-11 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11? | BUY | 0.0743897717 | $1.14 |
| 07-11 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.66 |
| 07-11 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.38 |
| 07-10 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.9007548998 | $4.93 |
| 07-09 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.30 |
| 07-09 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.9419999999 | $66.83 |
| 07-09 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.0399154334 | $2.36 |
| 07-08 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.9711032028 | $10.92 |
| 07-08 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.93 |
| 07-08 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.20 |
| 07-08 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.294 | $1.47 |
| 07-08 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.9199999991 | $39.07 |