0x94fcaE3f07E3Eb1Cb25ED1bd05527676F8d4E5a2-1777254246476
0x94fcae3f07e3eb1cb25ed1bd05527676f8d4e5a2
- Realised P&L
- $301.98
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $178.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.40at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$145.83at 0.731Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$32.50at 0.480Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$21.27at 0.790Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$13.71at 0.159Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:47 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.9899999903 | $101.00 |
| 08-05 15:05 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 15:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9199999967 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9199999967 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 15:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8199999938 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 10:24 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.8799999789 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 02:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 07-27 23:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7309999997 | $396.28 |
| 07-24 16:07 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 16:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July? | BUY | 0.6799999891 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 16:01 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25? | BUY | 0.8536488504 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |