0x9454F1baCAc1eF37aA4e03226054B1728DA6325b-1781931572199
0x9454f1bacac1ef37aa4e03226054b1728da6325b
- Realised P&L
- $-392.82
- Volume
- $38.6k
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $48.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.245 | $26.95 | +$3.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.015 | $15.29 | −$9.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $6.24 | −$0.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.54at 0.072Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$52.98at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$30.83at 0.139Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
- +$28.83at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$21.56at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.16 |
| 08-09 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 08-09 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.02 |
| 08-09 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-09 09:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.01968562 | $9.84 |
| 08-08 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 08-08 08:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.21 | $23.10 |
| 08-08 07:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 07:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 04:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.038764 | $3.88 |
| 08-08 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.0270126116 | $13.41 |
| 08-08 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 08-08 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 08-08 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |