0x93D9038A156878cC8DAa800E3c6836d3d7CCa697-1777446635518
0x93d9038a156878cc8daa800e3c6836d3d7cca697
- Realised P&L
- $21.31
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $27.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.99at 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.05at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?
- +$16.74at 0.230Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$10.15at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
- +$6.95at 0.590Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:27 | Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31? | BUY | 0.8219999936 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.2079207596 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:47 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999842 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:46 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:45 | UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:45 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 20:12 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 05:12 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 05:26 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.44999997 | $6.00 |