EENC246
0x931824c64259fc6613948bfda68ea01a5ea8ca56
- Realised P&L
- $-296.98
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $53.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.042 | $21.00 | −$14.00 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $13.54 | −$11.46 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.040 | $6.58 | −$3.42 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.035 | $6.56 | −$3.44 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.043 | $4.57 | −$4.43 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.003 | $0.77 | −$9.23 |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.002 | $0.22 | −$4.78 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.59 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.71 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.99 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-9.00at 0.009Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.095Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.088Kash Patel out by April 30?
- +$-14.00at 0.003Trump out as President by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 23:05 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 14:30 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.002267159 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 05:05 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999949 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 21:57 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 05-19 18:39 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 14:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 14:49 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 21:13 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0714285714 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 18:54 | Kash Patel out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0884691775 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:48 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949999922 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:42 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0333770669 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 06:42 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0326409464 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:36 | Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? | BUY | 0.0739961613 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 06:36 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0854088841 | $9.00 |
| 04-27 06:34 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999996 | $25.00 |