PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cobaltharborfmz

0x91d757346e322976a9544dd07b9b7e3f58550dfc

Realised P&L
$-17.5k
Volume
$4.39M
Markets traded
7,839
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,839
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.595$4.3k+$688.48
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.405$2.9k$688.48
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.0000.935$508.05+$508.05
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.0000.880$496.72+$496.72
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.0000.873$450.21+$450.21
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.0000.940$187.44+$187.44
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.0000.625$176.72+$176.72
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.0000.740$173.16+$173.16
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.0000.544$171.50+$171.50
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.0000.505$164.30+$164.30
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.0000.790$137.21+$137.21
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0000.029$110.15+$110.15
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? · No0.0000.600$108.60+$108.60
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.0000.855$106.86+$106.86
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.0000.210$97.98+$97.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:47Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.0377777778$1.70
08-02 22:47Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.04$2.20
08-02 22:40Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.001$0.55
08-02 22:20LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.001$2.00
08-02 22:18San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.09$15.30
08-02 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.75$72.75
08-02 22:06Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.25$11.25
08-02 22:02Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.25$1.38
08-02 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ETBUY0.57$64.98
08-02 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.4402061856$42.70
08-02 21:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5PM ETBUY0.26$12.74
08-02 21:24San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.6743090909$148.35
08-02 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ETBUY0.309682098$52.31
08-02 20:33BNB Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ETBUY0.1154545455$5.08
08-02 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ETBUY0.32$1.60