cobaltharborfmz
0x91d757346e322976a9544dd07b9b7e3f58550dfc
- Realised P&L
- $-17.5k
- Volume
- $4.39M
- Markets traded
- 7,839
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,839
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.213Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$5.8kat 0.077Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$4.8kat 0.507England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$3.5kat 0.003Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$3.0kat 0.028LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.0377777778 | $1.70 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 22:40 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.55 |
| 08-02 22:20 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 22:18 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.09 | $15.30 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $72.75 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $11.25 |
| 08-02 22:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.38 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $64.98 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4402061856 | $42.70 |
| 08-02 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $12.74 |
| 08-02 21:24 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6743090909 | $148.35 |
| 08-02 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.309682098 | $52.31 |
| 08-02 20:33 | BNB Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.1154545455 | $5.08 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |