jsupposes
0x914db98d87e5733af2784a18dd2d4abc04badd11
- Realised P&L
- $-384.97
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $83.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.97at 0.804Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 19?
- +$41.76at 0.684Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 1?
- +$35.20at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
- +$28.44at 0.755Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?
- +$28.21at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3910527778 | $14.08 |
| 08-07 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.95 |
| 08-07 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3374225806 | $10.46 |
| 08-07 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.8797142857 | $30.79 |
| 08-06 17:29 | Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 08-06 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.476 | $11.90 |
| 08-06 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8707781818 | $47.89 |
| 08-06 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.8263636364 | $45.45 |
| 08-06 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8348745455 | $45.92 |
| 08-06 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7575 | $15.15 |
| 08-06 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 08-06 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4017096774 | $12.45 |
| 08-06 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 08-06 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.40 |
| 08-06 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.56465 | $13.55 |