NiceCash
0x9138a776d8743dfe87508b96fe120ed1d4fd6cf6
- Realised P&L
- $-10.83
- Volume
- $498.72
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $37.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.290 | $15.54 | +$0.54 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.745 | $9.27 | −$0.93 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $9.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.034 | $3.26 | −$1.74 |
| Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.11 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.57at 0.074Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?
- +$5.28at 0.791Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
- +$3.42at 0.790Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$1.65at 0.924Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
- +$1.27at 0.798Will Real Madrid win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $20.04 |
| 07-06 18:20 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 18:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 17:41 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.88 | $33.41 |
| 05-09 22:27 | US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $3.00 |
| 05-09 22:23 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0513655234 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 22:22 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 05-09 22:17 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.9239999994 | $20.00 |
| 05-09 21:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-25 20:53 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.11 |
| 10-25 20:50 | Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:50 | Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:44 | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.9369999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:43 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |