PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NiceCash

0x9138a776d8743dfe87508b96fe120ed1d4fd6cf6

Realised P&L
$-10.83
Volume
$498.72
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$37.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.290$15.54+$0.54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.745$9.27$0.93
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.185$9.25$0.75
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0510.034$3.26$1.74
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$9.11
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? · No0.7300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 18:27NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$20.04
07-06 18:20Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2$10.00
07-06 18:10Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999895$15.00
07-06 17:41Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.88$33.41
05-09 22:27US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9739999922$3.00
05-09 22:23Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0513655234$5.00
05-09 22:22Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.7899999947$30.00
05-09 22:17Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY0.9239999994$20.00
05-09 21:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999995$30.00
10-25 20:53Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?BUY0.1$9.11
10-25 20:50Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?BUY0.95$10.00
10-25 20:50Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?BUY0.96$10.00
10-25 20:44US military intervention by Oct 31?BUY0.9369999988$10.00
10-25 20:43Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?BUY0.7299999876$10.00