138168888
0x911560ede85504aae952a6bbf8c20f8a1ea242fc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.87
- Volume
- $536.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$0.42at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.970Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.42 |
| 08-05 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:12 | BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001984127 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.04 |
| 08-04 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.41 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |